you could/can but I wouldn't do it personally. I have never given notice early on a child going to school or nursery as I've always worried that it will affect my local reputation. Lots of my parents and local people know me and I'm convinced that if they thought I did this, that they would worry I would give notice before their children started school/nursery. HOwever, that is my personal business decision. If work is slow in your area and you are worried you will not replace the child in September then I think it is reasonable to give notice explaining to parent you can't afford to be without work in September.
What I would do this is speak to parent of current mindee again to ask her to confirm her plans one way or the other telling her you are currently turning away work to see if that helps her make up her mind?
The other option is: do you have any free days where you have a space so you could start new child on, then increase the days with a variation for continuity of care? Then you will have 4 under 5's til september then back to 3 again when other child starts nursery.
if you do what you've always done, you'll get what you've always got
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